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Fed 后疫情首次加息 25bp

2022-03-16 monetary 64 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
AAPL AAPL
+2.75% +9.48% -1.02%
ABBV ABBV
+2.02% +3.38% -4.44%
ABT ABT
+2.49% -0.44% -5.19%
AMD AMD
-1.66% +3.73% -22.13%
AMZN AMZN
+5.32% +7.62% -18.68%
AVGO AVGO
+0.54% +4.28% -4.43%
BAC BAC
+0.23% +2.17% -15.56%
COST COST
+3.31% +2.27% -2.50%
CVX CVX
+2.55% +7.36% +1.29%
DBA Agriculture
+1.22% +4.12% +2.90%
DIA Dow 30
+1.94% +2.33% -2.86%
DIS DIS
+1.56% +0.72% -17.84%
EEM Emerging Markets
+0.91% +0.22% -5.85%
ENB ENB
+1.86% +5.32% -1.34%
EWJ Japan
+2.23% +3.00% -7.08%
FXI China Large Cap
+1.07% -2.13% -5.33%
GLD Gold
-0.39% +1.32% -3.54%
GOOGL GOOGL
+2.13% +6.30% -12.53%
HD HD
+2.97% -6.11% -7.23%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+0.10% -2.64% -6.24%
IWM Russell 2000
+2.64% +2.27% -7.27%
JNJ JNJ
+0.18% +1.38% +2.36%
JPM JPM
+1.23% +2.54% -12.32%
KMB KMB
-0.47% -0.94% +12.02%
KO KO
+1.08% +3.48% +6.69%
MAA MAA
-0.51% -0.71% -8.20%
MCD MCD
+0.33% +1.44% +3.57%
META META
+6.32% +8.93% +3.68%
MRK MRK
+1.27% +4.12% +12.20%
MSFT MSFT
+2.05% +3.16% -3.37%
MSTR MSTR
+5.95% +10.18% -14.66%
NFLX NFLX
+6.45% +4.56% -44.21%
NVDA NVDA
+7.99% +13.05% -20.26%
O O
+1.95% +3.58% +3.43%
PFE PFE
+3.00% -0.26% -8.65%
PG PG
+0.26% +2.05% +6.35%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+3.28% +5.72% -6.30%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
-0.06% -0.68% -1.16%
SLV Silver
-0.39% +1.60% -9.69%
SPY S&P 500
+2.36% +4.24% -4.56%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+0.47% -3.13% -11.49%
TSLA TSLA
+7.76% +20.28% +7.46%
TSM TSM
+0.97% +0.98% -11.29%
UNG Natural Gas
+3.18% +16.78% +55.78%
UNH UNH
+1.58% +2.96% +0.58%
USO Crude Oil
+9.31% +18.25% +14.79%
UUP USD Index
-0.11% +0.49% +5.44%
V V
+3.42% +3.10% -0.16%
VIXY VIX Futures
-6.18% -13.66% +5.66%
VTI Total US Market
+2.52% +4.17% -4.80%
WFC WFC
-0.35% +1.86% -15.37%
WMT WMT
+0.45% -0.93% +4.97%
XLB Materials
+2.54% +6.74% +1.33%
XLC Communication Services
+2.40% +4.09% -8.68%
XLE Energy
+3.34% +11.21% +7.82%
XLF Financials
+1.48% +3.24% -9.82%
XLI Industrials
+1.67% +2.88% -5.43%
XLK Technology
+2.77% +5.05% -4.68%
XLP Consumer Staples
+0.93% +2.54% +4.70%
XLRE Real Estate
+1.66% +2.02% -1.74%
XLU Utilities
-0.44% +3.02% -0.17%
XLV Healthcare
+2.21% +1.99% -3.09%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+3.81% +4.81% -5.53%
XOM XOM
+2.26% +10.75% +12.32%

Fed Rate Cycle Pivots — Cross-Asset Reaction Patterns

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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