V (V)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

V is rated NEUTRAL: valuation is fair and risk is low, but floor-based analysis lacks sufficient data to support a strong conviction.

  • PE at 28.3 sits in the 35th percentile — historically cheap relative to its own range, with a 'green' validation flag confirming no red flags.
  • Implied volatility at 31.7% is in the 90th percentile (high), suggesting elevated option premiums but no fundamental valuation distress.
  • Zero 'red alerts', no hot events, and no buyzone trigger — the stock is in a quiet, neutral zone with no extreme signals to act on.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

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Macro context

Across past macro events, V 5d reaction has been net positive +1.2%
13 event categories · 107 samples · 61 up / 37 down · macro-beta evidence only
Per-category detail · macro beta breakdown
fed-fomc-rate-cycle → avg 5d +0.1% 12 samples · 5 up / 6 down
taiwan-strait-tension → avg 5d +4.1% 12 samples · 10 up / 2 down
oil-shock → avg 5d +0.1% 10 samples · 5 up / 3 down
us-china-tariff-escalation → avg 5d +1.0% 10 samples · 6 up / 3 down
big-ipo-event → avg 5d +2.3% 9 samples · 7 up / 2 down
bank-crisis → avg 5d +1.0% 8 samples · 5 up / 3 down
big-tech-earnings-shock → avg 5d +0.9% 7 samples · 4 up / 2 down
election-uncertainty → avg 5d +1.1% 7 samples · 3 up / 3 down
natural-disaster → avg 5d +2.4% 7 samples · 3 up / 2 down
pandemic-emergency → avg 5d +1.3% 7 samples · 4 up / 3 down
sovereign-debt-crisis → avg 5d -0.2% 7 samples · 3 up / 3 down
china-property-crisis → avg 5d +1.8% 6 samples · 4 up / 2 down
russia-ukraine-war → avg 5d -3.2% 5 samples · 2 up / 3 down
Vs sector ETF (XLF, 5d)
+0.2pp in line with sector
V -1.4% Sector benchmark XLF -1.6%
Macro-beta evidence: how this ticker historically reacted to broad macro shocks. Not a thesis-level call — for that, you have to read the news and decide.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Neutral
Trailing P/E
28.3
5-yr percentile: 35%
P/B
17.4
5-yr percentile: 58%
p10
26.9
p25
27.9
p50
28.7
p75
30.4
p90
30.8
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

AI Valuation Recommendation single method ✓ OK
Floor
USD 198.95
Golden
USD 253.21
How we derived this
Floor USD 198.95历史峰值(ATH) × (1 − 50%) 回撤。原因:场景方法选举出的底价远低于当前价(< 40%),引擎判断这些方法的历史样本已被过时的定价区间主导(典型 re-rated 股票),回退到一个对 wheel/options 仓位更可执行的回撤型底价。

Golden USD 253.21ATH × (1 − 35%)(同一回撤方法,更浅档位)。

注:下方场景卡片显示的 DIVIDEND/VALUATION/EPV 数字是引擎仍计算了但未采纳的原始候选 — 保留可见以便审视引擎判断。
External Cross-Check
Our AI Floor USD 198.95
Analyst Low Target (36 brokers) USD 323.00
Analyst Mean Target USD 398.64
5-Year Low USD 172.58
✓ 我们的 floor 比分析师低端低 38%(在合理区间内)。AI Floor 设计上就是『深度便宜』的价位,低于分析师 12 个月目标低端属于预期之内。
AI Synthesis
根据分析师评论,Visa目前基于其远期P/E 21.7x和PEG 1.25来看估值合理,与17%的盈利增长相符。然而,其高达15.7x的P/B倍数显示估值绝对值较高,若增长放缓,估值可能承压。我们的系统未能应用标准估值方法,转而采用 ATH-anchored drawdown 回撤公式。基于历史峰值(ATH)锚定回撤计算,我们得到地板价为 $198.95,黄金价为 $253.21。本次估值的信心度为低。
Updated 2026-06-08
Glossary (click to expand)
Forward P/E
P/E using analysts' next-12-month EPS estimates. More forward-looking than trailing P/E, but exposed to forecast error.
Trailing P/E
P/E using actual EPS from the last 12 months. Distorted by one-time events (asset sales, impairments) until they roll out of the window.
P/B (Price-to-Book)
Stock price / book value per share. Meaningful for asset-driven sectors (banks, insurers); high values are normal for asset-light sectors (tech, consumer).
PEG
P/E ÷ earnings growth rate — \"how much P/E you pay per 1% of growth\". <1 = cheap-ish, >2 = priced-in.
Regime-mismatch drawdown model
When P/E distribution undergoes a structural shift (business transformation, sector re-rating), traditional \"revert to historical P/E percentile\" misleads. This model uses historical max drawdown × current EPS instead.
EPV (Earnings Power Value)
Greenwald framework: assume zero growth + current earning power is sustainable. Yields a conservative lower bound (asset + franchise value).
Heuristic Fallback
Backup estimator used when the primary method (P/E percentile, yield reversion, etc.) is unreliable due to data issues. **Lower confidence** — reference only, not auto-execute.
Confidence
Primary method applicable → high; multiple methods agree → medium; single heuristic fallback → low. Low confidence means review before acting.
Alt Method USD 325.05 Confidence low
BOOK VALUE medium
USD 18.64
Book-value floor (financials; profitable banks shouldn't trade below book long-term)
Bank/insurance — historical P/B re-rated; fallback to book-value floor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

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What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 31.7% HV (30D) 29.9% IV RANK (1Y) 90 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

V
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+1.01%
Avg Day%
+0.41%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-28
in 48d
24-07
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-28 AMC 3.31 +6.8% +8.76% +8.26% +3.07%
2026-01-29 AMC 3.17 +0.9% +0.13% -3.00% -0.07%
2025-10-28 AMC 2.98 +0.3% -0.26% -1.62% -1.98%
2025-07-29 AMC 2.98 +4.7% +0.12% -0.11% -3.29%
2025-04-29 AMC 2.76 +3.0% -2.07% +1.17% +2.44%
2025-01-30 AMC 2.75 +3.3% +1.00% -0.36% +1.45%
2024-10-29 AMC 2.71 +5.2% +3.71% +2.94% +9.05%
2024-07-23 AMC 2.42 +0.1% -3.29% -4.01% +0.33%

Is V (V) overvalued right now?

V (V) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 28.3, sitting at the 35th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

V (V) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on V (V) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

V (V) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on V (V), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

V (V) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on V (V) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does V show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show V's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's V page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.