Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
Amazon.com, Inc. is flagged as a WATCH because despite cheap valuation, missing floor confidence and elevated implied volatility suggest waiting for a clearer risk/reward entry.
- PE percentile at 18.4% (green-flagged) supports a 'cheap' valuation verdict with no extreme low signals.
- No valid hard-logic floor (0 valid floors) and a 'low confidence' floor assessment indicate limited downside anchor.
- Current implied volatility at 39.87% ranks in the 87.6th percentile (high), adding uncertainty that warrants a watching stance.
BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal
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Macro context
RULES & ALERTS FIRING
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VALUATION
Floor Engine
Golden USD 175.92 ＝ ATH × (1 − 35%)（同一回撤方法，更浅档位）。
注：下方场景卡片显示的 DIVIDEND/VALUATION/EPV 数字是引擎仍计算了但未采纳的原始候选 — 保留可见以便审视引擎判断。
Glossary (click to expand)
- Forward P/E
- P/E using analysts' next-12-month EPS estimates. More forward-looking than trailing P/E, but exposed to forecast error.
- Trailing P/E
- P/E using actual EPS from the last 12 months. Distorted by one-time events (asset sales, impairments) until they roll out of the window.
- P/B (Price-to-Book)
- Stock price / book value per share. Meaningful for asset-driven sectors (banks, insurers); high values are normal for asset-light sectors (tech, consumer).
- PEG
- P/E ÷ earnings growth rate — \"how much P/E you pay per 1% of growth\". <1 = cheap-ish, >2 = priced-in.
- Regime-mismatch drawdown model
- When P/E distribution undergoes a structural shift (business transformation, sector re-rating), traditional \"revert to historical P/E percentile\" misleads. This model uses historical max drawdown × current EPS instead.
- EPV (Earnings Power Value)
- Greenwald framework: assume zero growth + current earning power is sustainable. Yields a conservative lower bound (asset + franchise value).
- Heuristic Fallback
- Backup estimator used when the primary method (P/E percentile, yield reversion, etc.) is unreliable due to data issues. **Lower confidence** — reference only, not auto-execute.
- Confidence
- Primary method applicable → high; multiple methods agree → medium; single heuristic fallback → low. Low confidence means review before acting.
YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT
○ anonymous· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price
· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds
· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio
IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Earnings Reactions
| Date | Time | EPS | Surprise | Gap% | Day% | Week% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | AMC | 2.78 | +69.0% | +3.85% | +0.77% | +3.09% |
| 2026-02-05 | AMC | 1.95 | +0.2% | -8.98% | -5.55% | -10.73% |
| 2025-10-30 | AMC | 1.95 | +25.2% | +12.22% | +9.58% | +9.67% |
| 2025-07-31 | AMC | 1.68 | +27.2% | -7.22% | -8.27% | -4.88% |
| 2025-05-01 | AMC | 1.59 | +16.8% | +0.65% | -0.12% | +1.50% |
| 2025-02-06 | AMC | 1.86 | +25.4% | -2.65% | -4.05% | -4.25% |
| 2024-10-31 | AMC | 1.43 | +25.2% | +6.76% | +6.19% | +11.68% |
| 2024-08-01 | BMO | 1.26 | +23.8% | +1.24% | -1.56% | -11.33% |
Is Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) overvalued right now?
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 30.3, sitting at the 18th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?
Selling cash-secured puts on Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) — which option strategy fits your view?
If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) — is now a good entry?
Entry timing on Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.
FAQ
Why does AMZN show different P/E numbers on different sites?
Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.
Does this page show AMZN's implied volatility?
Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.
How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's AMZN page?
Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.