AVGO (AVGO)
AVGO is rated NEUTRAL because it trades far above any reasonable floor and carries expensive valuation multiples, yet the absence of red flags and high confidence in the floor provide grounds for hold
- The current price of $392.16 is 1188.5% above the engine-derived floor (12.9% discount to floor), placing the stock in the 'far' buyzone bucket.
- Both trailing PE (70.6, 90th percentile) and PB (22.2, 85.6th percentile) are at historically expensive levels, earning a 'expensive' valuation verdict.
- The floor confidence is 'high' with three primary floors present, and there are zero risk alerts (red_alert_count: 0), indicating no pressing downside catalysts.
BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal
AVGO is far above the floor (~1188.5% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (90th percentile)
Macro context
RULES & ALERTS FIRING
Sign in
VALUATION
Floor Engine
DIVIDEND USD 125.38、VALUATION USD 96.75、EPV USD 30.44）远低于当前价（< 40%），引擎判断这些方法的历史样本已被过时的定价区间主导（典型 re-rated 股票），回退到一个对 wheel/options 仓位更可执行的回撤型底价。Golden USD 290.40 ＝ ATH × (1 − 35%)（同一回撤方法，更浅档位）。
注：下方场景卡片显示的 DIVIDEND/VALUATION/EPV 数字是引擎仍计算了但未采纳的原始候选 — 保留可见以便审视引擎判断。
Glossary (click to expand)
- Forward P/E
- P/E using analysts' next-12-month EPS estimates. More forward-looking than trailing P/E, but exposed to forecast error.
- Trailing P/E
- P/E using actual EPS from the last 12 months. Distorted by one-time events (asset sales, impairments) until they roll out of the window.
- P/B (Price-to-Book)
- Stock price / book value per share. Meaningful for asset-driven sectors (banks, insurers); high values are normal for asset-light sectors (tech, consumer).
- PEG
- P/E ÷ earnings growth rate — \"how much P/E you pay per 1% of growth\". <1 = cheap-ish, >2 = priced-in.
- Regime-mismatch drawdown model
- When P/E distribution undergoes a structural shift (business transformation, sector re-rating), traditional \"revert to historical P/E percentile\" misleads. This model uses historical max drawdown × current EPS instead.
- EPV (Earnings Power Value)
- Greenwald framework: assume zero growth + current earning power is sustainable. Yields a conservative lower bound (asset + franchise value).
- Heuristic Fallback
- Backup estimator used when the primary method (P/E percentile, yield reversion, etc.) is unreliable due to data issues. **Lower confidence** — reference only, not auto-execute.
- Confidence
- Primary method applicable → high; multiple methods agree → medium; single heuristic fallback → low. Low confidence means review before acting.
YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT
○ anonymous· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price
· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds
· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio
IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Earnings Reactions
| Date | Time | EPS | Surprise | Gap% | Day% | Week% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | AMC | 2.44 | +1.8% | -14.66% | -12.59% | — |
| 2026-03-04 | AMC | 1.50 | +5.6% | +3.98% | +4.80% | +5.81% |
| 2025-12-11 | AMC | 1.74 | +55.5% | -6.50% | -11.43% | -16.24% |
| 2025-09-04 | AMC | 1.69 | +1.6% | +16.23% | +9.41% | +17.57% |
| 2025-06-05 | AMC | 1.58 | +0.6% | -3.38% | -5.00% | -4.32% |
| 2025-03-06 | AMC | 1.60 | +6.1% | +4.61% | +8.64% | +8.97% |
| 2024-12-12 | AMC | 1.42 | +2.0% | +18.40% | +24.43% | +22.21% |
| 2024-09-05 | AMC | 1.24 | +2.8% | -6.26% | -10.35% | +9.73% |
| 2024-06-12 | AMC | 1.10 | +1.1% | +14.34% | +12.27% | +10.91% |
Is AVGO (AVGO) overvalued right now?
AVGO (AVGO) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 70.6, sitting at the 90th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.
AVGO (AVGO) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?
Selling cash-secured puts on AVGO (AVGO) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.
AVGO (AVGO) — which option strategy fits your view?
If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on AVGO (AVGO), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.
AVGO (AVGO) — is now a good entry?
Entry timing on AVGO (AVGO) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.
FAQ
Why does AVGO show different P/E numbers on different sites?
Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.
Does this page show AVGO's implied volatility?
Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.
How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's AVGO page?
Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.