PG (PG)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral rule-based

PG has no clear signal.

  • Buy-zone state: far (+91.1% to floor)
  • Valuation label: neutral
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$145.79 $76.28 engine floor
far above at floor

PG is far above the floor (~91.1% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

Macro context

Across past macro events, PG 5d reaction has been net positive +0.5%
13 event categories · 107 samples · 53 up / 34 down · macro-beta evidence only
Per-category detail · macro beta breakdown
fed-fomc-rate-cycle → avg 5d -0.4% 12 samples · 3 up / 7 down
taiwan-strait-tension → avg 5d +2.2% 12 samples · 8 up / 3 down
oil-shock → avg 5d +2.2% 10 samples · 8 up / 1 down
us-china-tariff-escalation → avg 5d +1.0% 10 samples · 5 up / 2 down
big-ipo-event → avg 5d +0.5% 9 samples · 3 up / 2 down
bank-crisis → avg 5d +0.5% 8 samples · 5 up / 3 down
big-tech-earnings-shock → avg 5d +0.8% 7 samples · 3 up / 2 down
election-uncertainty → avg 5d +0.8% 7 samples · 3 up / 2 down
natural-disaster → avg 5d -0.4% 7 samples · 2 up / 1 down
pandemic-emergency → avg 5d +0.2% 7 samples · 6 up / 1 down
sovereign-debt-crisis → avg 5d -0.8% 7 samples · 3 up / 4 down
china-property-crisis → avg 5d -0.1% 6 samples · 2 up / 4 down
russia-ukraine-war → avg 5d -2.1% 5 samples · 2 up / 2 down
Vs sector ETF (XLP, 5d)
+3.5pp leading sector
PG +3.5% Sector benchmark XLP -0.1%
Macro-beta evidence: how this ticker historically reacted to broad macro shocks. Not a thesis-level call — for that, you have to read the news and decide.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

Sign in to see which rules are firing on PG in your portfolio.
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VALUATION

Neutral
Trailing P/E
21.9
5-yr percentile: 44%
P/B
6.3
5-yr percentile: 54%
p10
15.9
p25
20.3
p50
22.1
p75
24.2
p90
50.9

PG is fairly valued based on its trailing P/E of 21.1x, which is near its historical median. The modest revenue growth of 2% appears priced in, while the negative earnings growth is a concern. The biggest risk is continued earnings contraction, which could pressure its premium valuation.

Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

ideal USD 145.79 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 1.91×
DIVIDEND low
method skipped: dividend grew past historical regime (forward div 4.35 vs early 3y median implied div 2.76, ratio 1.58). Historical p95 yield was set when dividend was lower; fwd_div / p95_yield mixes regimes.
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 90.88
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 76.28
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 134.86
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PSR medium
USD 0.43
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 21.2% HV (30D) 21.4% IV RANK (1Y) 54 NEUTRAL
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

PG
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+0.43%
Avg Day%
-0.01%
Up Hit Rate
62%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-10-22
in 74d
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-07
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-07-29 BMO 1.43 +1.6% -5.04% -1.87% -1.40%
2026-04-24 BMO 1.59 +2.2% +4.32% +1.70% +1.06%
2026-01-22 BMO 1.88 +1.2% +1.38% +2.65% +2.63%
2025-10-24 BMO 1.99 +4.9% +2.75% +0.18% -1.21%
2025-07-29 BMO 1.48 +4.1% +0.98% -0.32% -4.20%
2025-04-24 BMO 1.54 +0.9% -3.16% -3.74% -3.47%
2025-01-22 BMO 1.88 +1.1% +3.33% +1.87% +2.79%
2024-10-18 BMO 1.93 +1.8% -1.15% -0.58% -2.36%

Is PG (PG) overvalued right now?

PG (PG) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 21.9, sitting at the 44th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

PG (PG) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on PG (PG) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

PG (PG) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on PG (PG), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

PG (PG) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on PG (PG) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does PG show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show PG's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's PG page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.