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Trump 二次当选,市场强反应

2024-11-06 geo political 64 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
AAPL AAPL
+2.02% +1.13% +14.74%
ABBV ABBV
-0.84% -18.00% -11.34%
ABT ABT
-0.18% -0.77% -2.13%
AMD AMD
+1.96% -7.03% -14.13%
AMZN AMZN
+0.53% -2.16% +8.68%
AVGO AVGO
+2.28% -8.19% +29.75%
BAC BAC
-0.62% +2.95% -2.81%
COST COST
+4.95% +0.87% +5.63%
CVX CVX
-0.50% +2.35% -8.43%
DBA Agriculture
+1.27% +3.38% +9.22%
DIA Dow 30
+0.66% -0.56% -1.56%
DIS DIS
+0.13% +16.37% +13.15%
EEM Emerging Markets
-0.31% -4.11% -3.49%
ENB ENB
+1.93% +3.13% +2.20%
EWJ Japan
+0.07% -2.72% -2.67%
FXI China Large Cap
-0.66% -4.83% -1.64%
GLD Gold
+0.92% -3.71% -1.93%
GOOGL GOOGL
+1.04% -2.28% +10.39%
HD HD
+4.51% +5.10% +1.58%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+1.02% +0.08% -0.49%
IWM Russell 2000
+0.38% -3.68% -6.39%
JNJ JNJ
-1.53% -2.46% -7.25%
JPM JPM
-4.08% -0.71% -3.51%
KMB KMB
+1.50% +1.85% +0.74%
KO KO
+0.35% -3.08% -1.33%
MAA MAA
+3.61% +2.93% -0.17%
MCD MCD
+1.69% -0.47% -0.33%
META META
+3.02% -3.14% +4.94%
MRK MRK
+2.17% -4.39% -0.56%
MSFT MSFT
+0.56% -1.23% +3.79%
MSTR MSTR
+4.89% +32.13% +28.87%
NFLX NFLX
+1.90% +5.61% +16.82%
NVDA NVDA
+1.39% -2.49% -4.07%
O O
+0.89% -0.81% -6.59%
PFE PFE
-0.82% -7.95% -0.86%
PG PG
+4.14% +5.27% +4.38%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
+1.69% -1.78% +3.59%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.10% +0.04% +0.35%
SLV Silver
+0.18% -3.02% -5.07%
SPY S&P 500
+1.21% -0.90% +0.96%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+2.54% -0.13% -2.28%
TSLA TSLA
+11.33% +11.16% +49.24%
TSM TSM
+4.13% -3.73% +7.66%
UNG Natural Gas
-2.64% +3.89% +21.45%
UNH UNH
+3.20% -0.75% -14.82%
USO Crude Oil
-1.89% -6.43% -1.99%
UUP USD Index
-0.14% +1.76% +3.56%
V V
+0.15% +0.92% +3.39%
VIXY VIX Futures
-3.47% +0.24% -3.72%
VTI Total US Market
+1.17% -1.01% +0.57%
WFC WFC
-2.80% +3.17% -2.10%
WMT WMT
+1.67% +0.97% +8.52%
XLB Materials
-0.53% -3.89% -9.96%
XLC Communication Services
+0.82% -0.26% +3.24%
XLE Energy
+0.20% +1.25% -9.54%
XLF Financials
-0.73% +0.65% -1.86%
XLI Industrials
+0.47% -1.64% -5.40%
XLK Technology
+1.63% -1.99% +2.19%
XLP Consumer Staples
+1.58% +0.50% -0.05%
XLRE Real Estate
+2.98% +0.80% -3.90%
XLU Utilities
+2.10% +2.19% -1.11%
XLV Healthcare
+1.45% -4.19% -5.85%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
+2.72% +1.92% +9.64%
XOM XOM
+0.09% -0.59% -11.43%

US Election Uncertainty — Volatility, Dollar, and EM Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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