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选前不确定性上升,VIX 飙升

2020-10-26 geo political 64 Source →
Asset returns after this event

Asset returns after this event

Asset T+1 T+5 T+30
AAPL AAPL
-3.35% -0.09% +7.30%
ABBV ABBV
-4.09% +12.61% +28.09%
ABT ABT
-2.37% +2.32% -2.28%
AMD AMD
-7.09% -1.07% +11.47%
AMZN AMZN
-1.38% +1.06% -3.29%
AVGO AVGO
-4.36% +0.44% +12.95%
BAC BAC
-4.36% -3.50% +19.36%
COST COST
-1.55% +1.67% +3.39%
CVX CVX
-5.72% +1.17% +33.53%
DBA Agriculture
-2.01% -1.41% +3.02%
DIA Dow 30
-4.16% +0.55% +8.74%
DIS DIS
-4.51% +0.81% +24.69%
EEM Emerging Markets
-2.08% +2.60% +11.72%
ENB ENB
-3.33% -2.25% +22.60%
EWJ Japan
-1.00% +2.15% +12.06%
FXI China Large Cap
-1.81% +5.06% +4.18%
GLD Gold
-1.36% +0.15% -3.57%
GOOGL GOOGL
-4.64% +10.20% +11.57%
HD HD
-2.29% +2.42% -3.55%
IEF 7-10yr Treasuries
+0.22% +0.25% -0.53%
IWM Russell 2000
-3.91% +0.55% +19.86%
JNJ JNJ
-3.90% -3.17% +6.49%
JPM JPM
-4.64% -0.98% +18.80%
KMB KMB
-1.99% -0.42% -0.43%
KO KO
-3.69% -1.27% +7.36%
MAA MAA
-4.01% +4.77% +2.60%
MCD MCD
-4.27% -4.19% -6.69%
META META
-3.41% +3.71% +0.00%
MRK MRK
-3.37% +2.26% +5.26%
MSFT MSFT
-3.52% +3.00% +0.47%
MSTR MSTR
-7.34% -1.41% +65.90%
NFLX NFLX
-0.41% +1.78% +2.63%
NVDA NVDA
-3.91% +4.97% -1.26%
O O
-3.38% -1.83% +0.95%
PFE PFE
-6.51% -1.56% +17.18%
PG PG
-2.58% -0.47% -4.10%
QQQ Nasdaq 100
-3.15% +2.30% +7.86%
SHY 1-3yr Treasuries
+0.00% +0.01% +0.03%
SLV Silver
-3.67% -1.64% -1.28%
SPY S&P 500
-3.75% +1.22% +8.06%
TLT 20+yr Treasuries
+0.76% +1.11% -0.59%
TSLA TSLA
-3.39% +0.17% +49.20%
TSM TSM
-3.32% +3.14% +20.18%
UNG Natural Gas
+1.30% -5.85% -24.31%
UNH UNH
-4.66% +9.75% +5.51%
USO Crude Oil
-2.95% +1.22% +18.44%
UUP USD Index
+0.44% +0.36% -2.59%
V V
-6.32% +0.47% +7.69%
VIXY VIX Futures
+14.93% -7.03% -28.04%
VTI Total US Market
-3.70% +1.20% +9.73%
WFC WFC
-6.70% -3.61% +30.51%
WMT WMT
-1.49% -0.14% +3.81%
XLB Materials
-3.75% +1.27% +10.82%
XLC Communication Services
-3.31% +3.11% +9.53%
XLE Energy
-5.43% +0.92% +41.98%
XLF Financials
-4.34% -0.49% +16.49%
XLI Industrials
-5.40% +0.32% +11.90%
XLK Technology
-3.76% +1.41% +7.50%
XLP Consumer Staples
-3.18% -0.36% +4.06%
XLRE Real Estate
-3.47% +1.25% +2.98%
XLU Utilities
-2.98% -1.59% -4.00%
XLV Healthcare
-3.84% +2.85% +5.16%
XLY Consumer Discretionary
-3.21% +0.16% +4.67%
XOM XOM
-5.34% -0.36% +35.15%

US Election Uncertainty — Volatility, Dollar, and EM Reactions

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Methodology: historical analogs are built from a curated event list and yfinance total-return data. The Monte Carlo uses joint sampling — entire asset-return vectors drawn from the same historical event so cross-asset correlations are preserved. This page is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Read the full methodology →

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