LMT (LMT)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

LMT sits above its valuation floor with low volatility and no risk alerts, but its price is far from the buyzone, making it a NEUTRAL hold.

  • Current price of $530.13 is only 2.1% above the weighted floor, supported by three valid floor estimates and a high confidence rating.
  • Implied volatility rank is very high at 94.6%, indicating options are expensive, yet the stock shows no red flags or active risk alerts.
  • The stock is 105.4% above the buyzone, meaning it is not attractively priced for new entries under the current framework.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$530.13 $258.10 engine floor
far above at floor

LMT is far above the floor (~105.4% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 530.13 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 2.05×
DIVIDEND high
USD 455.00
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
VALUATION high
USD 388.95
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 258.10
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 514.91
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 220.13
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)
PSR medium
USD 430.03
PSR reverts to historical 10th-percentile (growth stocks pre-stable-earnings)
High-growth, earnings not yet stable — PSR is the next-best anchor

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 42.0% HV (30D) 19.3% IV RANK (1Y) 95 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

LMT
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.22%
Avg Day%
-2.98%
Up Hit Rate
38%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-21
in 41d
24-07
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-23 BMO 6.44 -4.3% -3.87% -4.62% -6.74%
2026-01-29 BMO 5.80 -2.7% +2.00% +4.23% +1.99%
2025-10-21 BMO 6.95 +9.4% -4.58% -3.24% -3.98%
2025-07-22 BMO 1.46 -77.4% -8.20% -10.81% -8.77%
2025-04-22 AMC 7.28 +14.7% +1.06% +0.32% +3.39%
2025-01-28 BMO 7.71 +16.5% -5.95% -9.18% -9.93%
2024-10-22 BMO 6.84 +6.2% -1.25% -6.12% -11.03%
2024-07-23 BMO 6.85 +6.0% +3.00% +5.63% +13.29%

Is LMT (LMT) overvalued right now?

Whether LMT (LMT) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

LMT (LMT) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on LMT (LMT) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

LMT (LMT) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on LMT (LMT), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

LMT (LMT) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on LMT (LMT) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does LMT show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show LMT's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's LMT page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.