DUK (DUK)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

DUK lands in the NEUTRAL bucket because it is trading far above its calculated floor, has elevated implied volatility, and lacks sufficient valuation data to form a clear opinion.

  • Trading at $123.82, DUK is 83.1% above its strongest floor ($67.82 dividend-based), placing it in the 'far' buyzone with a 8,213.9% distance from the floor; such extreme premiums historically imply limited upside and higher downside risk.
  • Implied volatility rank is 96.7% (high), suggesting unusual options-market uncertainty, which can signal elevated near-term risk and reduced reward-for-risk appeal.
  • No valuation data is available (PE history incomplete at 37 months, needing 60+), and no risk alerts fire, leaving the stock in a data-poor, ambiguous zone that fails to argue for conviction on either side.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$123.82 $1.49 engine floor
far above at floor

DUK is far above the floor (~8213.9% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Valuation data not yet available for this ticker. Try again in a few minutes.

Floor Engine

ideal USD 123.82 Confidence medium
discount-to-floor: 83.14×
DIVIDEND high
USD 67.82
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
44y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION low
method skipped: insufficient PE history (37 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
USD 1.49
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
method skipped: ROIC (5.1%) does not exceed WACC (8.0%); the company is not earning excess returns, so EPV without growth premium is the appropriate anchor.
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
USD 56.68
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 29.0% HV (30D) 19.7% IV RANK (1Y) 97 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

DUK
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+0.56%
Avg Day%
+0.06%
Up Hit Rate
75%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-08-04
in 55d
24-08
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-05 BMO 1.93 +7.2% +1.14% +0.10% -1.87%
2026-02-10 BMO 1.50 +0.5% +0.39% +1.58% +2.89%
2025-11-07 BMO 1.81 +3.5% +0.08% -0.27% -1.04%
2025-08-05 BMO 1.25 +6.4% +2.25% -0.14% +0.24%
2025-05-06 BMO 1.76 +14.3% +1.04% +1.81% -6.36%
2025-02-13 BMO 1.66 +0.7% -0.92% -2.08% -0.70%
2024-11-07 BMO 1.62 -5.7% -0.87% -2.24% -2.60%
2024-08-06 BMO 1.18 +15.5% +1.33% +1.72% +2.44%

Is DUK (DUK) overvalued right now?

Whether DUK (DUK) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

DUK (DUK) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on DUK (DUK) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

DUK (DUK) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on DUK (DUK), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

DUK (DUK) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on DUK (DUK) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does DUK show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show DUK's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's DUK page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.