ARM (ARM)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

ARM is rated NEUTRAL because its extreme valuation and low floor confidence offset a bullish implied-volatility signal.

  • Valuation is expensive: the PE percentile is 100.0% and the PE ratio is $460.31, placing it far above historical norms.
  • The stock is trading 30.2% above its only calculated floor ($10.27 EPV floor), but confidence in that floor is low because the PE history is only 7 months.
  • The buyzone distance is extremely far (+2,923.9%), yet implied volatility rank is high (98.8%), suggesting options are pricing in large moves that may not be justified by fundamentals.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

$310.58 $10.27 engine floor
far above at floor

ARM is far above the floor (~2923.9% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view. valuation expensive (100th percentile)

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Expensive
Trailing P/E
⚠️ 460.3
5-yr percentile: 100%
P/B
50.5
5-yr percentile: 100%
P/S 85.4x Extremely Expensive
PE > 100x: current earnings are not the pricing basis; the market is pricing future growth optionality. P/S uses revenue as the basis — unaffected by losses or low earnings. Tech growth reference: <5x fair, 5-10x expensive, >10x very expensive, >20x requires extremely high growth.
p10
146.3
p25
155.8
p50
173.1
p75
242.8
p90
291.8
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

partial USD 310.58 Confidence low
discount-to-floor: 30.24×
VALUATION low
method skipped: insufficient PE history (7 months, need 60)
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV medium
USD 10.27
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
Default fallback to epv method
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
USD 12.12
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 117.0% HV (30D) 115.0% IV RANK (1Y) 99 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

ARM
8 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
-2.34%
Avg Day%
-2.05%
Up Hit Rate
25%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-29
in 49d
24-07
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-07
25-11
26-02
26-05
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-05-05 AMC 0.29 -20.7% +11.09% +13.63% +5.92%
2026-02-04 AMC 0.43 +5.1% -0.40% +5.70% +16.48%
2025-11-05 AMC 0.39 +17.7% +4.25% -1.21% -12.41%
2025-07-30 AMC 0.35 -0.3% -9.17% -13.44% -16.99%
2025-05-07 AMC 0.55 +5.0% -4.02% -6.18% +7.15%
2025-02-05 AMC 0.39 +14.0% -6.50% -3.34% -4.87%
2024-11-06 AMC 0.30 +17.1% -3.23% +4.13% -5.76%
2024-07-31 AMC 0.21 +23.1% -10.72% -15.72% -17.85%

Is ARM (ARM) overvalued right now?

ARM (ARM) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 460.3, sitting at the 100th percentile of its 5-year valuation history. A high percentile suggests the market is pricing the stock above its own historical norm — useful context before sizing a new position or selling premium against it.

ARM (ARM) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on ARM (ARM) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

ARM (ARM) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on ARM (ARM), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

ARM (ARM) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on ARM (ARM) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does ARM show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show ARM's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's ARM page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.