0941.HK (0941.HK)

Secondary decision view: valuation · portfolio context · the data you need before acting on a single-source signal.
Neutral

China Mobile (0941.HK) holds at NEUTRAL as its price trades well above fundamental floors, while heightened volatility signals caution despite no active risk alerts.

  • The current price of HK$82.30 sits 124.2% above the buyzone, far from any ideal entry range, and carries a 2.24% premium over the high-confidence dividend-based floor.
  • Implied volatility is elevated at 16.82%, ranking in the 95.1st percentile over the past year (high label), suggesting increased uncertainty despite a clean risk report with zero red alerts.
  • The PB percentile of 84.11% indicates the stock trades historically expensive on a price-to-book basis, contributing to the neutral view.
Verdict bucket from deterministic rule (validation / floor distance / risk alerts). LLM narration only — never picks the bucket.

BUY-ZONE DECISION rule signal

HKD 82.30 HKD 36.71 engine floor
far above at floor

0941.HK is far above the floor (~124.2% above) — adding here means paying a premium vs. your own threshold. Wait or take partial position only with a strong directional view.

RULES & ALERTS FIRING

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VALUATION

Trailing P/E
11.3
P/B
1.2
5-yr percentile: 84%
Sufficient earnings data; P/E historical percentile directly measures overvaluation or undervaluation

Floor Engine

AI Valuation Recommendation
Floor
HKD 67.31
Golden
HKD 72.69
How we derived this
Floor HKD 67.31 = 对 5 个有效估值方法的中位数选举:DIVIDEND HKD 36.71VALUATION HKD 58.15EPV HKD 97.53EPV_GROWTH_PREMIUM HKD 108.18PB HKD 34.61。引擎对每个方法的有效性做了独立检验(PE/股息分布是否结构性偏离、数据是否充分),只有通过的方法才参与最终选举。

Golden HKD 72.69 = Floor × 1.08(取在 floor → floor×1.30 收敛带内的最高 primary 值;若无候选落入此带,回落到 floor × 1.08 默认溢价)。
External Cross-Check
Our AI Floor HKD 67.31
Analyst Low Target (15 brokers) HKD 80.54
Analyst Mean Target HKD 96.77
5-Year Low HKD 33.20
✓ 我们的 floor 比分析师低端低 16%(在合理区间内)。AI Floor 设计上就是『深度便宜』的价位,低于分析师 12 个月目标低端属于预期之内。
AI Synthesis
⚠️ 引擎标记此票需要人工复核(engine flagged needs_human_review)。下方为引擎自身警告信息:
Updated 2026-04-29
Glossary (click to expand)
Forward P/E
P/E using analysts' next-12-month EPS estimates. More forward-looking than trailing P/E, but exposed to forecast error.
Trailing P/E
P/E using actual EPS from the last 12 months. Distorted by one-time events (asset sales, impairments) until they roll out of the window.
P/B (Price-to-Book)
Stock price / book value per share. Meaningful for asset-driven sectors (banks, insurers); high values are normal for asset-light sectors (tech, consumer).
PEG
P/E ÷ earnings growth rate — \"how much P/E you pay per 1% of growth\". <1 = cheap-ish, >2 = priced-in.
Regime-mismatch drawdown model
When P/E distribution undergoes a structural shift (business transformation, sector re-rating), traditional \"revert to historical P/E percentile\" misleads. This model uses historical max drawdown × current EPS instead.
EPV (Earnings Power Value)
Greenwald framework: assume zero growth + current earning power is sustainable. Yields a conservative lower bound (asset + franchise value).
Heuristic Fallback
Backup estimator used when the primary method (P/E percentile, yield reversion, etc.) is unreliable due to data issues. **Lower confidence** — reference only, not auto-execute.
Confidence
Primary method applicable → high; multiple methods agree → medium; single heuristic fallback → low. Low confidence means review before acting.
ideal HKD 82.30 Confidence high
discount-to-floor: 2.24×
DIVIDEND high
HKD 36.71
Yield reverts to historical 95th-percentile (extreme yield level)
24y dividend history (≥10), dividend method reliable
VALUATION high
HKD 58.15
PE reverts to historical 5th-percentile (extreme undervaluation)
EPV high
HKD 97.53
Zero-growth scenario + current cash/debt (Greenwald franchise value)
EPV GROWTH PREMIUM low
HKD 108.18
EPV × franchise-value multiplier (compounder premium when ROIC > WACC)
PB medium
HKD 34.61
P/B reverts to historical 10th-percentile (asset-driven businesses)

YOUR WATCHLIST CONTEXT

○ anonymous
What you'll see after sign-in
Your floor
$XXX.XX
Your golden
$XXX.XX
Market
XXX

· Your personal floor / golden price overlay on the live price

· Per-ticker rule alerts when this stock crosses your thresholds

· Position P&L overlay — what this ticker means inside your full portfolio

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IMPLIED VOLATILITY

CURRENT IV 16.8% HV (30D) 8.8% IV RANK (1Y) 95 HIGH
IV vs HV · last 1 year

Earnings Reactions

0941.HK
3 earnings events · last 2 years
Avg Gap%
+0.29%
Avg Day%
+0.57%
Up Hit Rate
33%
Next Earnings · est.
2026-07-21
in 41d
25-10
26-03
26-04
Bar height = |Gap%| normalized to the period max. Green = up, red = down.
Date Time EPS Surprise Gap% Day% Week%
2026-04-20 BMO 1.35 +2.3% +0.00% +0.43% +3.62%
2026-03-26 BMO 0.99 -10.8% -0.06% +0.00% +3.29%
2025-10-20 BMO 1.46 -2.0% +0.94% +1.29% -0.12%

Is 0941.HK (0941.HK) overvalued right now?

Whether 0941.HK (0941.HK) is overvalued depends on the lens you use: trailing P/E vs its own history, CAPE vs the broader market, earnings yield vs Treasury yields. We surface all three so you don't have to pick one in isolation.

0941.HK (0941.HK) — what's the SELL PUT risk profile?

Selling cash-secured puts on 0941.HK (0941.HK) is a common income strategy, but the right strike depends on your floor price (the level you'd happily own at) and the option chain's buffer/APY tradeoff. The full ladder view (deferred to a future release) ranks candidates by buffer percentage first, then APY — see the option ladder methodology for why buffer matters more than yield in this strategy.

0941.HK (0941.HK) — which option strategy fits your view?

If you're bullish long-term but cautious near-term on 0941.HK (0941.HK), SELL PUT into your floor zone collects premium while waiting for a better entry. If you already own it and are neutral-to-mildly-bullish, COVERED CALL caps upside but harvests time decay. The wrong strategy on the right ticker still loses money — match the trade to your view, not the other way around.

0941.HK (0941.HK) — is now a good entry?

Entry timing on 0941.HK (0941.HK) is a function of your floor price (hard buy zone) and golden price (back-the-truck-up zone). Both are personal — set them in your watchlist and we'll alert you when the market hits either level.

FAQ

Why does 0941.HK show different P/E numbers on different sites?

Different data providers use different earnings windows (TTM vs forward, GAAP vs adjusted) and update at different cadences. We surface trailing P/E with a 5-year percentile rank to give context — a P/E of 30 is hot for one stock and cold for another.

Does this page show 0941.HK's implied volatility?

Not on this v0 page — the dedicated volatility tool covers IV with multi-source voting (IBKR + Polygon + yfinance). For pure IV lookup, use /tools/volatility. This page is for decision-stage queries that pull together valuation + portfolio context.

How is this different from Yahoo Finance or 雪球's 0941.HK page?

Those sites are great for raw data discovery — last price, news, headline P/E. This page is built for the second look: you've already seen a single-dimension signal somewhere else, now you need multi-dimensional decision context (your floor, the valuation percentile, your portfolio overlay) in one view, not five tabs.